Islamabad July 04, 2007

Time: 1230 PST

UPDATE: Weather Advisory No.07

 

Yesterday’s weak low pressure area over central Rajasthan is still hovering over

 the area and likely to remain oscillating here during next few days.

The possibility of its regeneration after getting fresh moisture after 36 – 48 hours

 can not be ruled out.

 

Sindh

No significant weather in next 24 hours except isolated rains. Possibility of rains in

            Sindh between evenings of 6th July – 8th July, 2007 is 40%.

 

Balochistan

No significant weather during next 48 hours.

 

Punjab;       Islamabad and Kashmir Catchment Areas including

Earthquake Affected Areas:

Chances of scattered rains during next two days

 

NWFP & Northern Areas:

                                                                No significant weather in next two days.

 

 

 

(Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services

 

 

 

 

       Islamabad July 3, 2007

Time: 1030 hours

 

UPDATE: Special Weather Advisory No.6

 

 

Yesterday’s low pressure area over Rajastan is still hovering over Eastern Sindh / Rajastan. The moisture supply to the system is likely to reduce further but it may hovering the same area for another 36 hours before finally dissipating.

 

Sindh:

                        Last night Sindh especially lower Sindh received widespread rains. However, luckily Karachi escaped from this system.

 

                        Scattered rains in Sindh with isolated heavy falls in Eastern Sindh are still expected in next 36 hours.                  

 

Balochistan:

                        This weather system is not likely to approach Balochistan as such at the maximum only isolated moderate rains are possible due to the availability of excess moisture in the area.

 

Punjab;       Islamabad and Kashmir Catchment Areas including Earthquake    Affected Areas:

 

                        Scattered Monsoon rains are expected during next two days.

 

NWFP & Northern Areas:

                       

                        No significant weather in next two days.

 

Chief Amount of Rainfall in last 24 hours:

Chhor   : 37.2  mm       Badin : 30.0 mm           Tando Bago : 20 mm

Mirpur Khas: 16.2 mm Talhar : 17 mm  Jacobabad: 14.0 mm

Tandojam : 11.0 mm     Mithi  & S.F. Rahu : 7.0 mm

Hyderabad: 7.0 mm      Skrund : 5.0 mm           Thetta : 4.0

Larkana : 3.0 mm         Nawabshah : 3.0 mm   

Kakul : 33.3 mm           Chaklala : 35.0 mm       Joharabad : 31.0 mm

Islamabad : 12.0 mm    Murree : 9.0 mm           Noorpur Thal : 8.2 mm

Malamjabba & Cherat : 7.0 mm                        Peshawar : 3.9 mm

Garidupatta : 6.4 mm    Babusir : 5.5 mm          Muzaffarabad : 4.5 mm

Kotli : 4.0 mm

 

                                                                                                                            (Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Islamabad July 2, 2007

Time: 1300 hours

 

UPDATE: Special Weather Advisory No.5

 

Yesterday’s well-marked low pressure area over central India has further weakened into a low pressure area and has moved over Rajastan. The upper level vortex and thick cloud mass is tilted towards Southwest over Rann of Kutch and adjoining Arabian Sea.

 

The development of another depression over Bay of Bengal is in process which may further reduce the moisture supply to the low pressure area near Sindh.

 

Sindh:

 This low pressure area still has the potential to cause widespread heavy rains in Sindh at times very heavy accompanied with gusty winds especially in South & Southeast Sindh including Karachi and Hyderabad during the next 2 – 3 days.

 Balochistan:

                    The system is not likely to move closer to Balochistan coast as feared earlier. As such, only areas of Southeast Balochistan closer to Sindh may possibly receive heavy rainfall on 3rd & 4th July whereas other areas of Balochistan may see continuity of scattered rainfall during next 2 – 3 days.

 

Punjab;      Islamabad and Kashmir Catchment Areas including Earthquake Affected Areas: 

                 Strong moist Monsoon currents under the influence of this weather system area reaching in above mentioned areas which are likely cause scattered Monsoon rains at times heavy in above mentioned areas during next 2 – 3 days.

 

NWFP & Northern Areas:

               Scattered rainfall is expected in upper districts of NWFP and Northern areas during the next 2 – 3 days.

 

 

 

 

(Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services

 

 

 

Chief Amount of Rainfall in last 24 hours

 

 

 Station

Rainfall (mm)

 

Station

Rainfall (mm)

Balakot & Sehrkakota

57

 

Oghi & Besham

23

Talhatta

51

 

Kakul

22

Rawalakot

49

 

Ghari Duppata

16

D.I. Khan

40

 

Barkhan

15

Muzaffarabad

40

 

Cherat

15

Zafarwal

40

 

Peshawar

13

Faisalabad

33

 

Dir

10

Mianwali

27

 

Murree

9

Tarbela

24

 

Islamabad

8

 

 

 

 

 

Islamabad July 01, 2007

Time: 1400 PST

Special Weather Advisory No.4

 (Warning)

 

Yesterday’s deep depression over central India remained practically stationary and has weakened to a well marked low pressure area. It is expected to move towards Southern Sindh. Normally such monsoon systems re-curve towards Punjab and catchment areas. But there is a high probability that it will cross to Arabian Sea and after re-intensifying there it will move along Sind- Balochistan coast.

Sindh

This strong monsoon weather system is expected to cause widespread heavy rains accompanied with gusty winds in Sindh during the next four (04) days. Maximum intensity of the rains in Sindh including Karachi is expected to be within morning of 3rd July to 4th July, 2007 night.

Balochistan

Scattered rains are expected in the province during the next 48 hours. However, if the system continues to develop which is expected, the heavy rains are likely to start in Southern Balochistan from 4th July and may continue up to 6th July, 2007. Maximum rains are likely to be in Southern Balochistan especially coastal areas, but other parts of Balochistan may also receive widespread rains during this period.

Punjab, Islamabad and Catchment Areas

Strong moist monsoon currents under the influence of this weather system are reaching in above mentioned areas. Which are likely to cause widespread rains at times heavy in these areas during the next 03 days.

Moderate to heavy rainfall is also expected in Kashmir and earthquake affected areas during next 03 days.

 

(Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services

 

 

 

 

Islamabad June 30, 2007

Time: 1500 hours

 

Special Weather Advisory No.3

 (Warning)

      Yesterday’s Deep Depression over OrissaIndia moved in a Northwesterly direction and weakened into a depression, lay centered at 0800 PST over Central India. (The system is not likely to weaken further as expected earlier.). The Depression (Strong Monsoon Weather System) is expected to move in westerly – North Westerly direction in next 12 hours.

      The system is expected to cause widespread heavy rains at times extremely heavy rainfall accompanied with strong gusty winds in Sindh and Punjab during the next four days. The rainfall is later expected to extend to catchment areas.

      Widespread at times heavy downpours accompanied with gusty winds are also expected in Kashmir, Earthquake affected areas, parts of Balochistan and N.W.F.P.

      The System has the potential to cause Urban/River flooding.

 

Note:  Next four days are critically important authorities may also refer to our flood updates issued by our specialized Flood Forecasting Division, Lahore.

Sea conditions are also expected to be rough to very rough along Sindh coast.

 

Further, updates would be available on our website. www.pakmet.com.pk.

 

 

(Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services

 

 

 

 

Islamabad June 29, 2007

Time: 1400 hours

Special Weather Advisory No.2

(Watch)

 

Yesterday’s Deep Depression over North/Central Bay of Bengal has moved this morning over Orissa Coast. It is likely to move in Northwesterly direction. The system would weaken gradually and move to Central India in next 02 days.

 

                       This system has the potential to cause widespread at times heavy rains and gusty winds in Sindh and adjoining areas of Balochistan during next 2-3 days starting from 24 - 36 hours.

 

Part 2:

              Widespread at times heavy rains accompanied with gusty winds are expected in Punjab, Kashmir/ Earthquake affected areas including adjoining areas of NWFP, during next 48 hours. Scattered rain and windy weather is also likely in Sindh and Balochistan during next 36 hours

 

 

(Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services

 

                                           Islamabad June 28, 2007

Time: 1100 hours

 

 

Special Weather Advisory No.1

(Watch)

 

 

Yesterday’s well marked low pressure area over North/Central Bay of Bengal has concentrated into a Depression (Strong Monsoon Weather System) this morning (centered near 15.5oN / 87.0oE). It is likely to intensify further and moved in a West-Northwesterly direction. After reaching central India, the system would weaken to a low-pressure area. Later this low pressure area may reach Sindh in next 3-4 days.

 

           This system has the potential to cause widespread heavy rains and strong gusty winds in Sindh and adjoining areas of Balochistan after 2-3 days.

 

Part 2:

          

           Widespread rains at times heavy accompanied with gusty winds are expected in Punjab, Kashmir/earthquake affected areas including adjoining areas of NWFP during next 48 hours.

 

           Scattered rain and windy weather is also likely in Sindh and Balochistan during next 36 hours.

 

 

 

(Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman Chaudhry)

Director General

Meteorological Services